Friday, February 11, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 11TH FEBRUARY 2011 & ONWARD

MARKET KEEP ON GRINDING DOWN AND THE STOCKS SHOW NO STRENGTH DUE TO LACK OF BUYING INTEREST BY BIG INSTITUTIONS,  FIIs SELLING IN THE CASH MARKET AND EXTREME PESSIMISM PERSISTENT IN THE  SENTIMENT.

INDIAN CASE SEEMS TO BE MOST DISTRESSFUL AS THE ROADS OF GROWTH HAVE SOME JITTERS IN THE SHORT TERM DUE RAMPANT, RENT SEEKING CORRUPT ECONOMIC, POLITICAL AND SOCIAL SYSTEM.

GOVERNMENT INSTEAD OF MANAGING AND ADMINISTERING THE SUPPLY SIDE ECONOMY KEPT ON DEPENDING ON RBI FOR CURTAILING THE DEMAND AND CHECKING THE SUPPLY OF MONEY TO CONTROL INFLATION AS BASIC OBJECTIVE ( POLITICAL) AND GROWTH IS ON THE SECONDARY FOCUS.

HENCE FIIs DIDN'T ACCEPTED THE ONGOING POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SCENARIO HENCE TO THEM 19-21 TIMES PE VALUATIONS TO INDIA IS NOT AT ALL ACCEPTABLE THEY ARE SELLING KEEPING THE VIEW THAT THE DE-RATED  VALUATIONS MAY BE ATTRACTIVE AT 13-14 TIMES. HENCE 16000-17000 WILL BE JUSTIFIED VALUATION FOR INDIAN MARKETS. ALWAYS MARKET BEHAVE TO GO BEYOND THE JUSTIFIED VALUATIONS THIS TIME TOO MARKETS WILL MAY TEST 15000-16000 ANY TIME IN THE MONTH OF MARCH TO MAY. 

THIS TIME IS NOT FOR INVESTMENT AT  LEAST NOT FOR THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS HUGE FIIs SELLING IN CASH MARKET AND THEY ARE INVESTING IN AMERICA. WHEN AMERICA AND EUROPE IS OUTPERFORMING WE ARE LAGGING 15% AND WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO INDIA WHEN AMERICA AND EUROPE START CORRECTING? WE WILL NOT GET BACK THE FUNDS DUE TO REVERSE EFFECT. SENSEX MAY TOUCH 15600-15000 AND NIFTY 4600-4400. HENCE NO NEED OF HURRY IN BUY AND MAKING PORTFOLIO.

WAIT AND WAIT................. LET THE CORRECTION IN AMERICA BEGIN AND THEN LET THE MARKET STABLISE AROUND 5000-4800 NIFTY RANGE AND BUY IN A STAGGERED MANNER.

I WILL MAIL THE LIST OS SHARES WHICH WILL SHOULD BE BOUGHT AND FOR NIFTY 50 SHARES AND MID-CAP SHARES ALONG WITH THE DETAILED MARKET STRATEGIES AND REASONS & RATIONALE TO THOSE WHO HAVE MAILED ME FOR THE REPORT @ vikas198012003@yahoo.co.in 

NOW FOR THE SHORT TERM FROM TODAY TO NEXT 7-10 DAYS MARKET WILL DEFINITELY BOUNCE BACK MAY BE FROM 5150-5050 RANGE.

HENCE BUYING CALLS OF NIFTY CE5200 & CE5300 ON PANIC SELLING OR FALL WILL BE BEST TO GET HANDSOME RETURN ON SPECULATIVE MOVE. HOWEVER THIS SHOULD BE KEPT IN THE MIND THAT ANY REVERSAL OR PULL CORRECTIVE  RALLY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND MARKET WILL SEE HUGE SELLING PRESSURE AT ANY TIME AND MAKE THE MARKET DRIFT DOWN. HENCE BEST STRATEGY WILL BE EITHER TO SIT ON CASH OR BUY PUTS ON RISES.

TODAY ON CAN LOOK TO SHORT:

RELINFRA, GMRINFRA, LANCO INFRA ETC AS THESE WILL CORRECT TO THE NEW LOWS VERY SOON.

SEE THE DETAILED REPORT FOR THE LIST, WHICH SHOWS THE STOCKS READY TO CRASH.

APPLY NOW:: MAIL: "REPORT" and "YOUR NAME" TO vikas198012003@yahoo.co.in


Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.



Tuesday, February 8, 2011

BROAD MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 7TH FEB TO 17TH FEB 2011

NOTE NOTE NOTE:  A DETAILED REPORT ON STOCKS READY TO COLLAPSE OR CRASH SIGNIFICANTLY WILL BE MENTIONED HERE BY TOMORROW. THOSE WISHING TO GET A PERSONAL COPY SHOULD MAIL AT vikas198012003@yahoo.co.in  or SMS   REPORT & NAME  ON 9235656797 ALONG WITH EMAIL ID.(Must for every trader & investor)


NIFTY & SENSEX BOTH TRADING IN A NARROW RANGE TAKING SUPPORT AROUND 5370-5400 & 17926-18000. TECHNICALLY THERE ARE CLUSTER OF SUPPORTS IN NIFTY & SENSEX. BROADLY SUPPORT EXISTS AROUND 5330/17900. ANY FALL BELOW THIS WILL LEAD 400-600 FALL IN SENSEX AND 200-250 FALL IN NIFTY.


HOWEVER THERE ARE STRONG CHANCES THAT NIFTY WILL BOUNCE BACK IN SHORT TERM ABOVE 5450 & 18400 TO 5555-5600-5700 OR 18700-19100. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT MARKET IS IN DOWN TREND AND ANY BOUNCE BACK, BIG OR SMALL WILL BE SOLD OUT AND INDICES WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT LOWER AND LOWER TO 5000-4800-4600 IN NIFTY & 17200-16700-16100 IN SENSEX. HENCE THE BROAD STRATEGY SHOULD BE TO SHORT NIFTY FUTURE OR NIFTY CALLS OR BUY PUTS ON EVERY RISE TO MAKE FAST MONEY.


FOLLOWING STOCKS SHOULD SEE ACTION TODAY ON 8TH FEBRUARY 2011


EXIDE INDUSTRIES  (131) MAY SEE UPWARD PRICE ACTION, IF THE MARKET REMAINS POSITIVE.
BGR ENERGY (541.30) MAY SEE UPWARD PRICE ACTION, IF THE MARKET REMAINS POSITIVE.
PETRONET LNG(129.70) MAY SEE UPWARD PRICE ACTION, IF THE MARKET REMAINS POSITIVE.
ITC (156.95) MAY SEE DOWNWARD PRICE ACTION TO 148 IF THE MARKET REMAINS NEGATIVE.


ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE:


ALL MAJOR BANKS LIKE SBI, ICICIBANK, PNB, AXIS BANK, HDFCBANK ARE WEAK AND WILL LEAD A FALL IN NIFTY TO 5100 & LOWER VERY SOON.


ALL PHARMA STOCKS LIKE LUPIN, CIPLA DR REDDY, RANBAXY WILL ALSO FALL IN A SIGNIFICANT WAY IN A FALL IN NIFTY TO 5100 & LOWER VERY SOON.


AUTO STOCKS LIKE BAJAJ AUTO, TATAMOTORS, MARUTI, M&M, HERO HONDA ARE WEAK AND WILL LEAD A FALL IN NIFTY TO 5100 & LOWER VERY SOON.


FMCG STOCKS LIKE HUL, ITC, ETC RE WEAK AND WILL LEAD A FALL IN NIFTY TO 5100 & LOWER VERY SOON.


NOTE NOTE NOTE:  A DETAILED REPORT ON STOCKS READY TO COLLAPSE OR FALL SIGNIFICANTLY WILL BE MENTIONED HERE BY TOMORROW. THOSE WISHING TO GET A PERSONAL COPY SHOULD MAIL AT vikas198012003@yahoo.co.in  or SMS   REPORT & NAME  ON 9235656797 ALONG WITH EMAIL ID.(Must for every trader & investor)



Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.






Thursday, February 3, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 4TH FEBRUARY 2011

AFTER 15 TO 20 DAYS OF DECLINE ONE DAY OF SUSTAINABLE GAIN, AFTER TOUCHING THE LOWS OF 5400 IN PAST SHOWS THAT MARKET IS UNDER THE BASE BUILDING OR CONSOLIDATION AND MAY TAKE FRESH DIRECTION AFTER NEW CUES AND TRIGGERS.


HOWEVER NIFTY MAY TOUCH 5600-5620 SOON AT THE RESISTANCE AS IT WAS SUPPORT AND 200 DMA EARLIER. NOW 5400 WILL ACT AS MAJOR SUPPORT AND ANY FALL BELOW 5400(CLOSING BASIS) SHALL BE CLEAR SIGNAL TO SHORT NIFTY AND LIQUIDATE THE LONG POSITIONS IN CASH & FUTURE.


AS MENTIONED IN THE PAST THAT MARKET IS IN INTERMEDIATE DOWN TREND ANY RALLIES LIKE THIS SHOULD BE USED TO GET OUT OF THE STOCKS AND SHORT THE NIFTY FOR GAINS WHEN MARKET FALLS MORE.......


TODAY MARKET WILL BE LACKLUSTER AND SLIGHTLY DOWNWARDS AS IT HAS RISEN 120-130 POINTS FROM ITS LOWS FEW DAYS BACK. HENCE PROFIT BOOKING BY TRADERS AND MOMENTUM PLAYERS IS OBVIOUS. ANY FALL BELOW 5450-5440 RANGE  SHALL BE THE  FIRST INDICATION OF MAJOR FALL AND BELOW 5400 SHALL BE THE STOP LOSS. HOWEVER ANY MOVE ABOVE 5550 SHALL BE GOOD WHICH SHALL COME BY NEXT WEEK. SUSTAINMENT OF NIFTY ABOVE 5620 MAY LEAD TO SOME MORE UPSIDE TO 5700-5750 ALSO. HOWEVER THE CHANCES OF NIFTY GOING TO THAT LEVEL ARE REMOTE AS OF NOW. 


FERTILIZER STOCKS ARE IN FOCUS DUE TO MEETING OF EGoM  ON 7TH FEBRUARY. 


SUGAR STOCKS ARE IN ACTION DUE TO RISING SUGAR PRICES INTERNATIONALLY.


FOR THOSE WHO WISH TO TRADE FOR 3-4 DAYS SHORT TERM CORRECTIVE RALLY MAY TRADE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTERS, WITH A VIEW OF RISK THAT MARKET WILL HAVE HUGE VOLATILITY & DOWN SIDE RISK OF SELLING:


BHARTI, ICICIBANK, HDFCBANK, HDFC & SBIN ARE BEST TO TRADE 


FOR TODAY FOLLOWING STOCKS WILL HAVE RESULT IMPACT: 


BALRAMPUR CHINI (74.40) MAY HAVE SOME POSITIVE IMPACT AND PRICE ACTION.


SUZLON(48.80) MAY HAVE SOME POSITIVE IMPACT AND PRICE ACTION.


JP ASSOCIATE(85.90) MAY HAVE SOME POSITIVE IMPACT AND PRICE ACTION.


CIPLA(329.45) MAY HAVE SOME POSITIVE IMPACT AND PRICE ACTION.






FOR SHORT TERM/INTRADAY:


SHORT TCS(1183) SL 1210 T-1160-30


BUY RELIANCE MEDIA WORKS(165.15) SL 159 T-175-181




Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.


MARKET VIEW FOR 3RD FEBRUARY 2011

NIFTY OPENED HIGHER AND MANAGED TO CLOSE IN POSITIVE AFTER A STEEP FALL FROM THE HIGH OF 5490 TO 5432 AFTER THE NEWS OF ARREST OF FORMER TELECOM MINISTER, A. RAJA.


THERE WILL BE VOLATILE MARKETS WITH CORRECTIVE RALLY TO TOUCH 5550-5600 BY NEXT FEW DAYS IF IT MANAGES TO CLOSE ABOVE 5400 IN THE PROCESS OF BASE BUILDING.


ANY CLOSE BELOW 5400 MAY TURN THE SENTIMENT MURKY AND GLOOMY TO TOUCH 5200. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT INTERMEDIATE TREND IS DOWN AND NIFTY WILL EVENTUALLY TEST 5200 OR LOWER VERY SOON. HENCE BUYING PE 5400, PE5500, PE5400, PE5300 & PE5200 WILL BE BENEFICIAL WHEN NIFTY WILL SLIP BELOW 5400.


TODAY WEEKLY INFLATION DATA WILL DECIDE THE TREND OF THE MARKET. SO KEEP EYE ON INFLATION FIGURES AT NOON AND TRADE ACCORDINGLY. MARKETS MAY REACT POSITIVELY TO THE NUMBERS


WATCH THESE STOCKS TODAY FOR TRADES:


BAJAJ AUTO (1214) THERE MAY BE SOME POSITIVE MOVES AFTER THE RESULT. JUST WATCH OUT


ONE CAN SHORT HERO HONDA (1522) SL 1600-1610 TGT 1300 IN FEBRUARY SERIES.


ONE CAN BUY HCL TECH (498)  FOR THE SHORT TERM TARGET OF 510-520


ONE CAN BUY INDUSIND BANK(223) SL 215 TGT 233-240


HATHWAY CABLE (133.75) IS LOOKING GOOD FOR THE UPSIDE MOVE ON ANY POSITIVE MARKET.



Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.




Wednesday, February 2, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 2ND FEBRUARY 2011

AS EXPECTED, THE TREND OF THE MARKET IS DOWN AND NIFTY TOUCHED TO 5400 & SENSEX TO 18000. TODAY MARKET MAY BOUNCE BACK AND THE RANGE FOR THE NEXT 3-5 TRADING SESSIONS WILL BE 5350 TO 5650. NIFTY WILL TAKE RESISTANCE AT 5700.


ONE CAN BUY CE 5400 , CE 5500 & CE5600 FOR NEXT 3-5 TRADING SESSIONS AS THERE WILL  BOUNCE BACK, MAY BE TO 5550-5600 OR MORE. HOWEVER THIS CORRECTIVE RALLY SHOULD BE USED TO EXIT THE MARKET FROM THE LONG POSITIONS IN FUTURES AND CASH STOCKS AS THERE WILL BE INTENSE SELLING BELOW 5350, WHICH MAY LEAD NIFTY TO 5000-4750!!!!!



BUY ORCHID CHEMICAL FOR THE TARGET OF 340-360++++ VERY VERY SOON SL 285-280
(THIS STOCK WILL BLAST VERY SOON, IF TRADED ABOVE 309)



SHORT NIFTY FUTURE OR BUY PE 5200 & PE5300 BELOW 5350 SL 5420-30 TGT-5250-5120-5000
BUY NIFTY FUTURE OR BUY CE 5400 & CE5500 ABOVE 5420-30 SL 5350 TGT  5480-5520-5600


WATCH FOR TODAY:


RESULT OF BHARTI THERE WILL BE ACTION IN THIS STOCK


RESULT OF HATHWAY CABLE THERE WILL BE ACTION IN THIS STOCK


RESULT HERO HONDA THERE WILL BE ACTION IN THIS STOCK



Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.