Friday, February 18, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 18TH FEBRUARY 2011

5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600


NIFTY FUTURE SETTLEMENT ON 24TH FEBRUARY WILL TAKE PLACE AT 5600


NOTE IN ADVANCE 5600 HENCE ONE CAN BUY CE5500 (FEB) AROUND 60-70 TO SELL AT 100 ON SETTLEMENT DAY


THE NEXT COURSE OF MARKET IN THE MARCH SERIES WILL BE DECIDED BY THE PREMIUM  ON NIFTY AND THE ROLLOVER OF STOCKS TO MARCH SERIES. 


IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT NO LONG POSITION SHOULD BE ROLLED OVER TO THE NEXT SERIES INSTEAD SIT ON CASH AND BUY 'PUTS' BUY PE5600, PE5500, PE5400, PE5300, PE5200 OF MARCH SERIES FOR HUGE GAINS. MARKET MAY GIVE VERY GOOD OPPORTUNITY TO BUY STOCKS IN CASH AT THE LOWER LEVELS.


BANKS & FINANCIALS  LIKE SBI, HDFCBANK, HDFC, BANK BARODA ARE  GOOD TILL BUDGET HENCE THEY COULD BE TRADED WITH POSITIVE BIAS.


FOLLOWING STOCKS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED TODAY FOR TRADING FOR NEXT 3-4 DAYS ( VERY SHORT TERM DELIVERY TILL BUDGET):


1. BPCL(615.40): SOME UPWARD PRICE ACTION WILL BE SEEN DUE SUBSIDY BURDEN CHANAGES MAY BENEFIT IT. SHORT TERM TARGET 650+++


2. HDFCBANK(2185.90): KEEPING THE STOP LOSS OF 2100 & TARGET OF 2300 FOR SHORT TERM.


3. HEXAWARE(113.55): SOME UPWARD PRICE ACTION WILL BE SEEN DUE TO STRONG NUMBERS. SHORT TERM TARGET 125+++


4. IDFC(146.65): KEEPING THE STOP LOSS OF 134 & TARGET OF 152-55 FOR SHORT TERM.


5. SPICE JET(48.40): SOME UPWARD PRICE ACTION WILL BE SEEN. SHORT TERM TARGET 52-56

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 17TH FEBRUARY 2011

NIFTY MANAGED TO RECOVER EVERY TIME IT DIPPED AND REMAINED IN A NARROW RANGE OF 50 POINTS.HOWEVER NIFTY CLOSED FLAT WITH SOME MILDLY POSITIVE BIAS.


POSITIVE GLOBAL CUES AND FRESH LONG IN NIFTY FUTURES SHALL MAKE THE NIFTY SLIGHTLY POSITIVE TO TOUCH 5550-5600 IN THE SHORT TERM BEFORE  EXPIRY ON 24TH FEBRUARY. EXPIRY MAY TAKE PLACE ABOVE 5400 BUT BELOW 5600 HENCE ONE CAN MANAGE THE OPTIONS ACCORDINGLY.


FOLLOWING STOCKS SHOULD BE WATCHED TODAY FOR TRADING AND INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES:


1. INDUSIND BANK(224.15) MAY SEE SOME BULLISH UP MOVE SOON. GOOD TO BUY FOR MEDIUM TERM DELIVERY


2. GARDEN SILK (101.15) GOOD TO BUY FOR MEDIUM & LONG TERM  TERM DELIVERY FOR THE TARGET OF 300++++


3. HDFC(629.00): BUY FOR THE TRADING PURPOSE. STOCK COULD MOVE UP TO 640 WITH A STOPLOSS OF 623


4. PRAJ IND(71.90): BUY FOR THE TRADING PURPOSE. STOCK COULD MOVE UP TO 82-84 WITH A STOPLOSS OF 68


5. GLOBUS SPIRIT(132.00): GOOD TO BUY FOR MEDIUM & LONG TERM  TERM DELIVERY FOR THE TARGET OF 250++++


6. ZEE LERN(21.25): MAY SEE SOME BULLISH UP MOVE SOON. GOOD TO BUY FOR MEDIUM TERM DELIVERY


7. JINDAL SAW(210): BUY FOR THE TRADING PURPOSE. STOCK COULD MOVE UP TO 212-217 WITH A STOPLOSS OF 200





Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.




MARKET VIEW FOR 16TH FEBRUARY 2011

5500 WAS RESISTANCE AFTER  SPECTACULAR  RECOVERY FROM THE LOWS OF 5397 TO CLOSE AT 5481 UP 25 POINTS FROM THE PREVIOUS  DAY 'S CLOSING WITH SOME BUYING IN CASH AND SHORT COVERING BY BIG FIIs AHEAD OF BUDGET & SETTLEMENT. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE KEPT IN THE MIND THAT CURRENT UP MOVE IS NOT A RALLY TO CROSS THE PREVIOUS HIGHS BUT A CORRECTIVE RALLY TO THE RECENT FALL, WHICH ,MAY END AT ANY POINT OF TIME AND THE MARKET MAY RESUME ITS SOUTH WARD JOURNEY.


THOUGH UP SIDE IS CAPPED AT 5600-5650 ( 200 DMA) MARKET MAY REMAIN IN THE RANGE 5400-5600 FOR SOME TIME BEFORE ANY FRESH MOVE ON EITHER SIDE.LOT OF ACTION WILL BE SEEN ON THE CASH SIDE & MIDCAPS RATHER THAN NIFTY OR SENSEX STOCKS. HENCE ITS NO TRADE ZONE FOR NIFTY OR SENSEX MOVEMENTS BUT ACTION PACKED TRADING IN OUT OF INDEX STOCKS. FOR INVESTMENT PURPOSES ONE SHOULD SIT IDLE AND HOLD CASH.ANY ATTEMPT TO TRADE  SHALL RESULT IN LOSS DUE TO VOLATILITY. 


THOSE VERY MUCH INTERESTED IN TRADING SHOULD BUY & ACCUMULATE  PUTs ON EVERY RISE IN NIFTY FOR MARCH SERIES ( SAY PE5600, PE5500,PE5400) SO AS TO GAIN ON A FALL AFTER BUDGET.


FOLLOWING STOCKS SHOULD BE WATCHED FOR TODAY FOR ACTION:


ANDHRA BANK(148.80) ACTION WILL BE SEEN ON THE UPSIDE & STOCK MAY REACH 155-160 SOON


KOATK BANK(411)ACTION WILL BE SEEN ON THE UPSIDE & STOCK MAY REACH 425-430-440++ SOON. KEEP SL OF 395 FOR TARDING PURPOSES.


STRIDE ARCOLAB(379.05) ACTION WILL BE SEEN ON THE UPSIDE & STOCK MAY REACH 390-400 SOON.


BANK OF INDIA(444.05)ACTION WILL BE SEEN ON THE UPSIDE & STOCK MAY REACH 455-70 SOON.KEEP SL OF 425 FOR TARDING PURPOSES.




Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.


Tuesday, February 15, 2011

MARKET VIEW FOR 15TH FEBRUARY 2011

AS EXPECTED  IN NIFTY( BOUNCE TO 5420) IT MOVED BEYOND THAT IN A VERY SHORT SPAN OF TIME DUE TO SHORT COVERING AND BUYING IN CASH BY INSTITIONS. THE RALLY AS SAID ON FRIDAY 11TH FEBRUARY, STARTED AFTER THE IIP DATA FROM THE LOWS OF 5178 ( AGAINST THE EXPECTATION OF 5150) MOVED AROUND 280 POINTS TO 5456. NIFTY AFTER TWO DAYS OF STRONG UP MOVE SHALL GO FOR  CONSOLIDATION AND THE RANGE FOR TODAY SHALL BE 5410 TO 5490.


MARKET MAY WITNESS MORE UPSIDE,  HOWEVER IT IS CAPPED AT 5600, BEYOND WHICH IT MAY NOT CROSS IN HURRY, WITHOUT CONSOLIDATION.  ALSO GOING TO THE BUDGET THE MARKET MAY CONSOLIDATE BEFORE MAKING THE DIRECTION TO THE EITHER SIDE.


GOING TO THE BUDGET THE MARKET MAY WITNESS HUGE FII SELLING DUE TO FALL IN AMERICAN & EUROPEAN INDICES. NOTE THAT THE FALL IN INDIAN MARKET WILL NOW BE DUE TO GLOBAL RISK AVERSION AND SELL-OFF IN AMERICA. HENCE KEEP EYE ON AMERICA AND DEVELOPMENTS THERE. 


FOLLOWING STOCKS SHOULD BE WATCHED IN LIGHT OF RESULTS AND OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:


TATASTEEL(620) MAY BE SOME UPSIDE PRICE ACTION TO 630-40  SEEN.


SBI(2692) MAY BE SOME UPSIDE PRICE ACTION TO 2720-40 SEEN


IRB INFRA(177) MAY BE SOME UPSIDE PRICE ACTION TO 185 SEEN


VIP INDUSTRIES(531) MAY BE SOME UPSIDE PRICE ACTION TO 580 SEEN


BUY NIFTY 5600 PE ( MAR) & 5400 PE (FEB). & HOLD FOR FEB EXPIRY.


Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.


Monday, February 14, 2011

UPDATED REPORT FOR YOU ALL. & MARKET VIEW FOR THE WEEK 14TH FEB TO 18TH FEB 2011


This is the Part-I of the Report:


Kindly note that the time to get exciting returns and short term gains from the market is now a bit late. One should wait at least another 5-6 months for recovery to take place but before that market will give much pain in the short term. FIIs have sold only 1.5 billion dollars of the total investments of 25 billion in equities in India.
Wait there will be huge selling by the Hedge Funds also that may result in more falls and that may bring Nifty to 4500-4600 level / Sensex to 15500-16000. Thereafter if the broad parameters of the economy, like interest rate, inflation , etc improve (say in April-May) market may re-evaluate the levels and decide the next move. But in the short term there will be decline to the above level. Hence on should invest in a staggered manner without keeping the leveraged position and keeping little cash also. Note that the levels mentioned below are not technical but for indication that the stock may fall to the levels which should be used to buy. Hence avoid buying at this time for investments and refrain from indulging in short term trades.

Any time from late March or April 2011 markets will stabilize after the annual results and other macro-economic developments and it may again start moving up gradually from July-December 2011 and give good returns to those who have bought the best pick.
Following  is the List of Shares for which the Target are being PROJECTED when Sensex falls to 16700-16300-16000-15800-15500 & Nifty fall to 5100-5000-4800-4600-4500. 

Note:THESE ARE ONLY A INDICATIVE PRICE(S) AND NOT ANY TARGETS, which may or may not be reached. Hence use your knowledge, skill, wisdom prudence and advice of your Financial Advisor before acting on this information

NIFTY STOCKS:
       RELIANCE     T-890-850-810-780
       TATA STEEL   T-580-520-470
       BHEL         T-1980-1860-1600
       ONGC         T-260-220-200
       TCS          T-940-800-680
       LT           T-1480-1300-1080
       HINDALCO     T-205-188-166
       HINDUNILEVR  T-250-230-215
       ITC          T-140-122-105
       INFOSYS      T-2890-2700-2500
        SBI          T-2400-2230-1980 
 KOTAK BANK   T-340-310-280-220
   AXIS BANK    T-1150-1030-880-700
  HDFC BANK    T-1980-1870-1740-1620
1 HERO HONDA T-1380-1300-1220-1140
  RANBAXY  T-480-440-410-350-300-280
  TATA MOTORS  T-1080-1000-880-700
   BAJAJ AUTO   T-1200-1120-1040-960
   SAIL         T-160-145-130-125
   ACC          T-900-820-730-660
  CAIRN        T-300-280-250-230
 STERLITE     T-140-120-105
 IDFC         T-120-100-90
  RCOM         T-90-75-60-48
  RELINFRA T-550-510-460-410-370-290
 RELCAPITAL T-400-360-320-280-220
 JP ASSOCIATE T-75-66-58-50-41-36
 RPOWER       T-110-100-90-82
 SUZLON       T-40-36-30-26
 PNB    T-1000-940-900-820-780
  BPCL    T-500-460-420
  DRREDDY T-1400-1310-1200-1040-920
 TCS   T-1020-950-875-700-650
 CIPLA     T-280-220-170
 BHARTI AIRTEL   T- 300-250-220
  AMBUJA T-105-100-92-80
  GAIL  T-400-350-300
 HCL TECH T-400-320-280
 SUN PHARMA T- 390-370-330-280-250
 HDFC  T-580-550-500-470-440-400

MIDCAP SHARES:
  PETRONET LNG     T-100-90-82
           MPHASIS      T-600-540-500-460-380
  WELSPUN CORP T-140-122-105
  ASHOK LEYLAND T-42-36-28
 INDIAN BANK  T-188-160-130-120
  NAGAR CONS T-90-81-77-70-66-50-44
 IDBI       T-120-110-100-90-82
         SYNDICATE BANK T-95-90-84-80-70
  ALLAHABAD BANK T-180-166-144
 LUPIN  T-360-330-300-280-240-200
 PRAJ IND T-60-54-48-44-38
 SINTEX IND  T-120-110-90
  TITAN    T-2880-2600-2400
 PIRAMAL HEALTH T-400-320-280-240
 TATA GLOBAL   T-80-72-66
  EDUCOMP    T-360-320-280-240
 AURO PHARM T-1080-1000-920-880-700
 BAJAJ HIND    T-66-60-54-50-44
 PUNJ LYOD T-66-60-56-52-46-42
 GVK PIL    T-22-20-18-16-14

WE WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL REPORT-II BY THE END OF THIS WEEK, WHICH WILL DECLARE THE BEST PICK OF 15-20 STOCKS THAT ARE MULTIBAGGER IN YEARS TO COME.
Email your Id and Name to vikas198012003@yahoo.co.in or sms at 09235656797


 IN THIS WEEK MARKET SHALL BE IN THE RANGE OF 5200-5400 IN THE FIRST 2-3 DAYS AND THEN IF THE 5400-5420-70 IS TAKEN OUT THEN HIGHER MARK MAY BE SEEN BUT NOT EXCEEDING 5600. HENCE ANY LEVEL AROUND 5400 SHOULD BE USED TO EXIT THE LONG POSITION AND CREATE SHORT POSITION OR BUY NIFTY PUTs. 
TATA STEEL, BANKS LIKE ICICIBANK, SBI ETC SHOULD BE SHORTED ( MARCH FUTURES) ON THE HIGHER LEVELS TO COVER LATER IN THE MARCH

Safe Harbor Statement:
Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Disclaimer: 
This is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views contained on this blog are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in, or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither I (Vikas Srivastava) nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of use of the above information/article. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited.